TURNKEY Sports Poll

Turnkey Sports & Entertainment owns the Turnkey Sports Poll, the industry’s continuing survey of senior-level executives and owners which probes the hottest issues inside sports. The results of the poll appear weekly in the SportsBusiness Journal.

October 2009
The October Turnkey Sports Poll covers 2010 FIFA World Cup, TV broadcast rights, facility security and youth marketing.

Which of the Big Four professional sports leagues will have a work stoppage during the next collective bargaining agreement negotiations? (Select all that apply)

Respondent Percentage is reported below

  • NFL - 46.90%
  • None of the above - 26.21%
  • NBA - 20.34%
  • NHL - 9.66%
  • MLB - 6.90%

No response/Not sure - 6.21%

Who is the most negatively affected when an NFL game is blacked out on local television?

  • Non-attendee fans - 47.90%
  • Team - 24.83%
  • TV rights holder - 10.84%
  • Sponsors - 8.04%
  • League - 4.20%
  • Ticket holders - 2.45%

No response/Not sure - 1.75%

If a game is blacked out and local fans don't have the option to watch it on TV, what are they most likely to do instead?

  • Watch another game instead - 39.16%
  • Find something else to do - 27.27%
  • Listen to the game on the radio - 17.48%
  • Follow the game online - 11.19%
  • Buy a ticket to the game - 2.10%
  • Travel out of market to watch the game - 1.05%
  • Wait for the game to be rebroadcast online on a delay - 0.00%

No response/Not sure - 1.75%

Live Nation is currently running a promotion called "Wednesday Only" through which customers can buy concert tickets without paying any fees and sometimes at a heavy discount off of face value.  Are other promoters, teams, and/or venues likely to begin offering similar promotions on a regular basis?

  • Yes, probably - 55.59%
  • Yes, definitely - 14.34%
  • No, probably not - 22.38%
  • No, definitely not - 1.40%

No response/Not sure - 6.29%

Since the 2006 FIFA World Cup in Germany, would you say that interest in soccer in the United States has:

  • 3 - Stayed the same - 44.37%
  • 4 - Increased slightly - 35.56%
  • 5 - Increased significantly - 8.10%
  • 2 - Decreased slightly - 7.75%
  • 1 - Decreased significantly - 1.41%

No response/Not sure - 2.82%

How will the US ratings for the 2010 FIFA World Cup compare to the 2006 event?

Will TV ratings be . . .

  • 4 - Slightly higher - 48.24%
  • 3 - Flat - 27.11%
  • 2 - Slightly lower - 10.21%
  • 5 - Significantly higher - 9.15%
  • 1 - Significantly lower - 1.06%

No response/Not sure - 4.23%

How far will the US National team go in the 2010 FIFA World Cup?

  • Round of 16 (first game of knockout round) - 41.20%
  • Quarterfinals - 20.77%
  • Eliminated in group (round-robin) stage - 19.72%
  • Semifinals - 1.76%
  • Win it all - 0.70%
  • Will fail to qualify - 0.35%
  • Final - 0.00%

No response/Not sure - 15.49%

In the next five years of sports property television rights negotiations, which channel/media company will be . . .

 

CBS

ESPN/ABC

Fox

NBC

Turner (TBS/TNT)

Versus

Other

No response/ Not sure

. . . the most aggressive at obtaining rights to additional sporting events?

1.42%

54.96%

8.51%

5.32%

3.90%

15.25%

1.77%

8.87%

. . . most likely to shed rights?

15.96%

3.90%

7.09%

25.89%

13.83%

9.57%

1.06%

22.70%

What will be the trend in sports television rights fees over the next five (5) years?

Oct. 09

Apr. 04

Remain flat

40.64%

36.81%

Trend up

36.40%

31.29%

Trend down

20.49%

31.29%

No response/Not sure

2.47%

0.61%

From a security perspective, what is the biggest threat to the safety of fans at major sporting events?

Oct. 09

Feb. 06

Alcohol abuse by unruly fans

62.19%

66.53%

Terrorist activity

18.73%

17.47%

Conflicts between fans of opposing teams

8.83%

6.05%

Weapons brought into the venue

6.36%

4.84%

Conflicts between players and fans

0.35%

2.42%

No response/Not sure

3.18%

1.61%

Other

0.35%

0.81%

You are a brand marketer and can pick one sport/property to activate a youth marketing campaign. What do you choose?

  • Action sports - 28.47%
  • NFL - 14.59%
  • NBA - 10.32%
  • MLB - 8.90%
  • MLS - 8.54%
  • College basketball - 6.05%
  • NHL - 4.63%
  • College football - 2.85%
  • UFC - 2.85%
  • WWE - 2.49%
  • PGA Tour - 1.42%
  • ATP - 1.07%
  • NASCAR - 0.71%
  • USOC - 0.71%
  • WTA - 0.36%
  • LPGA - 0.00%
  • Other (Please specify) - 3.20%

No response/Not sure - 2.85%

Which official governing body is doing the best job of developing participation and youth involvement in their respective sport?

  • US Soccer - 45.20%
  • USA Basketball - 11.39%
  • USA Football - 8.90%
  • USA Hockey - 6.05%
  • USA Baseball - 5.34%
  • USGA - 3.91%
  • USTA - 3.20%
  • Other (Please specify) - 2.85%

No response/Not sure - 13.17%

Thinking about your own particular business, what best describes your confidence level regarding the next 12 months?

 

Oct. 09

Sept. 09

August 09

Oct. 08

Optimistic (5, 6, or 7)

77.94%

72.98%

72.70%

55.05%

Neutral (4)

10.68%

11.93%

13.31%

11.62%

Pessimistic (1, 2, or 3)

11.39%

14.73%

13.65%

32.83%

No response/Not sure 

0.00%

0.35%

0.34%

0.51%

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